Sentiment

This chart comes from Babak at TradersNarrative: The premium in GTU has dipped into the red for the first time since October 2010 and prior to that, late 2008. This is positive as it shows optimism is now quite low, if there is any.

An upward sloping consolidation in Gold that began in October has, despite a lack of any real losses, been enough to improve various sentiment indicators. Mark Hulbert of MarketWatch gives an update on his Gold sentiment indicator: Consider the average recommended gold market exposure among a subset of short-term gold market timers tracked by the … Continue reading

Quoting the Market Watch piece: Fortunately for the gold market, the HGNSI is not at overheated levels right now. It currently stands at just 40.3%, which means that the average gold timer is allocating 60% of his gold portfolio to cash. That’s amazing, given that gold bullion is back to within shouting distance of its … Continue reading

The precious metals sector is at an important juncture. Let’s take a look at the potential upside targets. First lets start with Gold. Gold has formed a bullish cup and handle pattern, which is more bullish than usual due to the handle being formed at a higher level than usual. The pattern projects to $1450. … Continue reading

This nugget comes from Peter Spina and GoldForecaster.com UBS, in its annual poll of central bank and sovereign wealth funds found nearly a quarter of central banks believed gold would become the most important reserve asset in the next 25 years. At its annual seminar for sovereign institutions, UBS surveyed more than 80 central bank … Continue reading

As per Mark Hulbert’s HGNSI, Gold market timers are now more short-term bullish. I base these comments on current gold market sentiment, as indicated by the average recommended gold market exposure among a subset of short-term gold market timers tracked by the Hulbert Financial Digest (as measured by the Hulbert Gold Newsletter Sentiment Index, or … Continue reading

Ted Butler on King World News…

From Gold-Seek.com: These days it is popular and conventional to be a contrarian. It seems that almost everyone tries to figure out what everyone else is thinking/doing so that they can then do the opposite. Right now, for example, it seems that almost everyone thinks that almost everyone else is bullish on gold, and, therefore, … Continue reading

The Hulbert Gold Newsletter Sentiment Index (HGNSI) has gone more bearish than it was last week when Mark Hulbert noted it as being very bullish (on a contrarian basis) on a decline to 23.5%. According to information forwarded by subscriber Larry (not a rookie is all I’ll say) the HGNSI is now registering 9.2%! Do … Continue reading

By one historically accurate contrary sentiment metric, the gold market is poised to stage a surprising move higher soon.  From the Hulbert Gold Sentiment Newsletter Index: over the three decades I’ve been tracking investment newsletters, the gold market has — on average — adhered to the contrarian pattern. That is, bullion has turned in far … Continue reading

A week after the EUR posted the biggest short covering rally in history, expunging every single weak hand after a move wiped out 44% of all net shorts, the bearish speculative bets on the EUR are once again rising, according to just released CFTC Commitment of Traders data. After dropping from net -111,945 to just … Continue reading

Focus on the real sentiment indicators…